| 摘要: |
| 目的 全面准确地获取用户需求，并对需求类型的判断提出一种可靠的分析方法。方法 首先，利用问卷调查获取显性用户需求，然后结合专利分析与需求进化定律对动态发展的产品进行隐性需求的预测，进而通过模糊-Kano模型定量判断需求的类型，并用隶属函数对灰色区间的需求类型进行研究。结果 提出基于多方法融合的需求预测与分析方法，以桌面式清分扎把机为例，证实了方法的可行性。结论 运用此方法实现了对需求的全面获取、预测与分析，并为相关产品的设计提供了参考。 |
| 关键词: 需求 专利分析 需求进化定律 Kano模型 隶属函数 桌面式清分扎把机 |
| DOI：10.19554/j.cnki.1001-3563.2019.04.036 |
| 分类号:TB472 |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目（51475137）；河北省自然科学基金项目（E2015202029）；河北省高层次人才资助项目（A201500113）；河北省高校百名优秀创新人才支持计划（SLRC2017030） |
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| Demand Forecast and Analysis Based on Multiplex Method Fusion |
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LIU Shuai1,2, CAO Guo-zhong1,2, ZHANG Feng-wei1,2, ZHU Yu-ning1,2
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1.Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300130, China;2.National Engineering Research Center for Technological Innovation Methods and Tool, Tianjin 300130, China
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| Abstract: |
| The work aims to fully and accurately acquire customer demands, and propose a reliable analysis method for the judgment of demands type. First, the explicit customer needs were obtained by questionnaire. Then, the implicit demands of dynamically developed products were forecasted in combination with patent analysis and needs evolution laws, and then the type of demands was quantitatively determined with the Fuzzy-Kano model. Moreover, a study on the demands type of the gray interval was carried out by the membership function. A method of demand forecast and analysis based on multiplex method fusion was proposed, and its feasibility was verified with the desktop sorting and bundling machine as an example. The method is applied to achieve the full acquisition, forecast and analysis of demands, and it provides reference for the design of relevant products. |
| Key words: needs patent analysis needs evolution laws Kano model membership function desktop sorting and bundling machine |
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